Jan Ritsema van Eck, RPB Netherlands Institute for Spatial Research, The Hague, The Netherlands, Jan Brouwer, ABF Research, Delft, The Netherlands, Leon Crommentuijn, Ton Dassen, MNP Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands, Peter Jorritsma, AVV Transport Research Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, Ioulia Ossokina, Eugene Verkade, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, The Netherlands
Four long-term scenario's for the four larger cities in the Netherlands (assigned to theme
How will the four largest cities of the Netherlands develop in the next 40 years? As part of a larger study Welfare and Physical Surroundings, four possible scenario's are drawn up. How will these cities look like in 2040 and what is their position within the Netherlands? Changes in the urban population, both quantitative (growth or decline) and qualitative (in terms of ethnic origin, income and household types), are important driving forces and can themselves be linked to macro-economic developments. What are the most plausible developments with repect to the urban housing, labour and mobility markets? What will be the effects of these markets on the urban environment? By considering the interactions between these developments, coherent pictures can be painted of the future of Dutch urban areas in each scenario. Special attention will be given to specifically urban problems such as the spatial distribution and concentration of population groups, educational mismatch on the labour market, accessibility as a location factor, residential environmental quality en urban health problems.
 | Conference organized through conf-vienna
(copyright Gunther Maier) |