Abstracts

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Jacques Poot University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand, Bill Cochrane, Population Studies Centre University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand
Regional population change and labour market outcomes in New Zealand (assigned to theme I)

In recent decades, New Zealand experienced increasing regional diversity and growing spatial inequality. A detailed shift-share analysis identified a dichotomy between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas, but also several distinct clusters among the latter. In this paper, we analyse the interaction between regional demographic change and regional labour market outcomes. To avoid the usual problem of regional administrative boundaries being different from local labour market boundaries, all data have been obtained for 58 local labour market areas with boundaries defined by means of data on travel to work. Data have been pooled for 1986, 1991, 1996 and 2001. Accepting that regional labour market outcomes and demographic change are jointly endogenous, the present paper attempts to identify the separate roles of fertility, mortality, ageing, internal migration and international migration in New Zealand local labour market outcomes.

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