Abstracts

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Hester Biemans, Marianne Kuijpers-Linde, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands, Gudmundur Freyr Ulfarsson, Washington University School of Engineering & Applied Science, St. Louis, USA
Microsimulation of Urban Development in a Restricted Spatial Market (assigned to theme Q1)

UrbanSim is a microsimulation model in which the major actors on the urban markets are represented and their location choices are simulated. UrbanSim is currently being implemented for the Northwing of the Randstad in the Netherlands. The research is carried out as part of an EU funded project, which focuses on Spatial Deconcentration of Economic Land Use and Quality of Life in European Metropolitan Areas (SELMA). The primary objective of this project is to design urban planning and management strategies to ensure the maintenance of quality of life in European metropolitan areas facing non-residential deconcentration. The purpose of the UrbanSim model implementation in the Netherlands is to evaluate the effects of policy measures aimed at changing land use designations that affect non-residential sprawl in order to assess their quality of life impacts. This paper discusses the implementation of an economic driven land use model as UrbanSim to an area with a restricted spatial market. The UrbanSim model differs from other land use models applied in the Netherlands, such as the Environment Explorer and the Land Use Scanner, in its behavioural approach. Further this is one of the first applications of UrbanSim in an area where behaviour of actors is to a large extent restricted by strict planning regulations. In this paper the implementation process is described, including the adaptation of the model to the Dutch situation.

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